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Wednesday, October 29, 2008

The Best of All Possible Polls

Via the Votemaster at electoral-vote.com:
Weekly Reader Calls It for Obama

In contrast to McInturff, the Weekly Reader's quadrennial poll of students from kindergarten to 12th grade predicts that Obama will win big time, with 55% of the vote to McCain's 43%. This survey has been surprisingly accurate in the past, getting 12 of the past 13 presidential elections right, missing only Bill Clinton's win in a 3-way race in 1992. The survey's accuracy may be due to children getting most of their political views from their parents and the children's views may more accurately reflect what their parents are really thinking than what the parents are telling the pollsters. Thanks to David Richardson for the pointer.

3 comments:

  1. children getting most of their political views from their parents

    My father was a Republican and my mother was a Democrat. What should I have said?

    - Calimac
    [system is still not accepting LJ ID's]

    ReplyDelete
  2. Not a frickin' chance.

    - Calimac

    ReplyDelete

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